XDSFL Breakdown - Mr. Brady

MR. BRADY ROSTER (Current as of 03/29)

ANALYSIS
Every time I see that Terry came 8th in our league I shake my head in disbelief. I like Terry's team in many ways. At the start of season 2, I figured him to be a contender for a title run. A lot can change in a year. His team was plagued by injuries at the midway point. The loss of Andre Johnson can not be overstated enough. He represents an average of 12 points per game lost after week 4. To put that in perspective, Terry lost 3 games by 12 or less. That's the difference between 8th and 3rd in a tight race last year. His team also suffered from a severe lack of patience. Mendenhall was moved for 1.09 and DeMarco Murray was moved for... Greg Little? Despite a couple of key injuries and odd moves, Terry's in a prime position to be right back in the thick of things coming into the 3rd season.

Terry has picks 1.03 2.03 3.03 4.03 5.03

I suspect Terry's first round pick will be highly contingent on Rob's pick more than anything else. I do like that he's high throughout the draft despite having a solid team. Even 3.03 should yield a strong player with some research put in. The draft class is deep and players shouldn't be disregarded past the 2nd round.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality

Tom Brady
Calvin Johnson
Isaac Redman
Stevan Ridley
Vernon Davis
Jason Hanson
Greg Little
Chicago Bears Defense

There are a few players in the league that I consider 100% immovable. The best way I look at those players would be someone would have to give up so much to get them that they're not only stupid, they'd outright cripple their team to give the right value. Calvin Johnson is the only Wide Receiver I'd place in that category. He's 26 years old and has a young QB1 throwing to him. He's going to put up 200 points every year (barring injury) for the next 5 years.

When I look at Tom Brady, there's a part of me that says "sell high" and there's part that says "run him into retirement." If he were even a year younger (he's 34) it would be outright impossible to consider trading. At this stage, he's far too important to move and there's enough time over the next 3 years to draft a great Quarterback or trade for another QB1. Only Rodgers and Brees are in his league right now and Brady is a cornerstone of Terry's team.

Both Redman and Ridley are wait and see players with huge upside. Redzone Redman is going to get a big uptick in fantasy value this year. More so if Mendenhall is shelved longer than initially expected. The move of Green-Ellis to the Bengals has left a dog fight over the starting job in New England. I like Ridley over Vereen by a wide margin. I don't consider Woodhead an issue as he's used in any number of wacky packages not traditional for a larger Back.

I'm hopeful Little pans out considering the price paid for him. If Cleveland upgrades at Quarterback, Little should get an immediate increase in value. It's a lot of what ifs though. 

RECOMMENDATIONS
Terry's Running Back situation is a disaster. His best RB is Michael Bush and he'll be 28 years old by the time the NFL season starts. Willis McGahee is about to take an insane tumble in value as the entire Broncos offense is going to be re-tooled for Peyton Manning. He's also 30 years old. I would have tried to sell him high midway through the season to be honest. LaGarrette Blount is due for an upswing. However, if Trent Richardson is drafted 5th then Blount is dead in the water. Terry MUST draft a Running Back with 1.03 or trade down for a pick plus a Running Back. It's a small window because I wouldn't trade down lower than 1.07 to ensure getting a tier 1 rookie RB.

I'd also look to acquire a WR2 sooner rather than later. Andre Johnson is a great WR but when you fall down without being touched, that isn't something you just ignore. At 30 years old he has great trade value to contenders but holding him longer than another year is likely a poor decision both in the short term and definitely the long term.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Terry's only a couple of adjustments away from being right back on top of things. Once Running Back is addressed, I have no doubts his team will be smacking people up on the regular again.