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Friday, May 4, 2012

XDSFL Dynasty League Mock Draft Round 1

Our Dynasty League is entering it's 3rd season and I can tell there's a very strong uptick in terms of players doing research and taking the league seriously. As a result, I've been asked a lot more questions this off season than last. The biggest issue everyone is having is with our upcoming Rookie Draft. Some players place too high or low value on their picks. Some don't know what to do with the pick they've got. I thought it'd be fun to do a mock draft to give everyone an idea of how I see their team. The draft choices I made were based on need more than anything else. You'll notice there's a glaring omission by the time it's over and I welcome any arguments over it.

1.01 - GUCCI GUNNERS
Pick - Trent Richardson
Merwin is in the first year of a large rebuild. Impulsive moves over the course of the last two years have left him in a poor spot in terms of points production. While I think his biggest problem is at Wide Receiver, his choice must be Trent Richardson. If there was any doubt, it was put to rest when Cleveland drafted him and everyone realized he'd be a feature Running Back rather than RBBC. If he ends up being everything people think, he'll prove to be the cornerstone of Merwin's rebuild. He has had Ryan Williams sitting on IR (picked up in the 3rd round last year due to draft being just before the regular season) and will be poised to use him. Jonathan Stewart is waiting to explode as well. Those 3 should make a great foundation of Backs.

1.02 - MEAN MACHINES
Pick - Michael Floyd
This is slotted because Rob has made it clear that's the route he's going and I frankly have no reason not to believe him. Drew Brees and Matt Forte are his only real point producers. Personally I would have traded down to somewhere in the mid 1st and pick up a RB2/WR2. His top Receiver is Steve Smith and he knows that isn't going to last at 32 years old. Rob has Stevie Johnson as well. With Floyd, the 3 should make for a strong starting line up. While I anticipate Rob will draft Justin Blackmon, Floyd is a comparable Receiver who ended up in a far better situation in Arizona than Blackmon in Jacksonville. He'll get a lot of targets with Fitzgerald double teamed, a lot like the Jones/White situation in Atlanta.

1.03 - THE BRADY'S
Pick - Doug Martin
Terry has substantial Running Back issues that need to be addressed ASAP. Prior to a trade for Michael Bush in the off season, his top Running Back last year was Willis McGahee. Considering his age, and the fact the system will no longer be run based with Denver adding Peyton Manning, that point total will substantially drop. Out of all rookie Running Backs, Martin ended up in the best spot to add immediate strong production. If Blount can't hold onto the Football, Martin won't just be leading RBBC, he'll be a rare feature back in the NFL.

1.04 - THE VOYAGERS
Pick - David Wilson
This was the first team I actually had to give thought to. Scott has built a solid team of young talent across all positions. I expect much of the same with his picking up David Wilson. At present, Scott's top point getter is Frank Gore. He's on his last legs and I figure he'll be run until the wheels come off. After that Scott has DeMarco Murray and Roy Helu as his next viable choices. Wilson being drafted to New York was a perfect fit on a couple of levels. He'll get to split (likely 35/65) carries with Bradshaw. He's got great hands in a pass heavy offense. I expect him to produce right off the hop, even more so if Bradshaw's foot continues to act up.

1.05 - THE GUCCI GUNNERS (Acquired from THE ALABAMA TICKS)
Pick - Justin Blackmon
Seems odd to see Blackmon fall to 5th but that'll happen when you're drafted to one of the worst pass offenses in the league. He'll be splitting targets with Laurent Robinson. They have a God awful Quarterback and it's a brand new coaching staff in place. While I think his talent will shine through after Gabbert is replaced, I don't anticipate real production out of Blackmon for a while. Merwin's biggest issue while rebuilding is finding a viable WR2 after Marshall. He should draft the WR BPA and that'd be Blackmon.

1.06 - HIGHLIGHT REEL
Pick - Robert Griffen III
I love my team in every aspect except Quarterback. I have Big Ben and while he's a low end QB1, he's also been destroyed by injuries over the years. I anticipate his fantasy production will start to slow over the next couple of years. I anticipate RGIII will have an immediate impact, even in the awful Washington system. Ben will be my guy for the next couple of years but RGIII hopefully will take the reigns afterwards.

1.07 - P IN THE V
Pick - Kendell Wright
Ben has major issues at Wide Receiver. His top producer was Mike Wallace and then after that, no receiver broke 120 points. If you want to split hairs, Ben does have Rob Gronkowski who made up a ridiculous amount of points week to week. Ben needs a Receiver more than anyone else in the league. I actually have Wright higher than Blackmon on my Wide Receiver rankings based on the system he was drafted into. He'll have an immediate impact in a very young, wide spread and high powered offense. It's a no brainer draft here.

1.08 - THE SEXY LEPRECHAUNS
Pick - Coby Fleener
I've been saying over the course of the first two seasons of our Dynasty League that Scott has by far the best team. It's young and well balanced with a legit QB1, 2 x RB1 and 2 x WR1 at its foundation. If there was one gap I'd fill it's TE. Fleener is looking to be a monster and immediate producer with the Colts. He went to school with Andrew Luck and will end up being his safety net Receiver. With the way the Tight End role is changing, it's like picking up another WR without burning the roster spot.

1.09 - THE GUCCI GUNNERS (acquired from THE COMMISH)
Pick - Alshon Jeffrey
Pre draft I would have placed whichever of Miller/Wilson/Martin ended up at the bottom end of the first round. However, Miller will end up being a Kick Returner for years to come in the Dolphins system so long as Thomas and Bush are splitting carries. As such, it's back to Wide Receiver and Jeffrey is the best fit. Some might make an argument for Stephen Hill or Mohamed Sanu. The former is in an awful passing system. The latter is still in a system trying to figure itself out. If anything I like Sanu over Hill in terms of fantasy production. In any case, Jeffrey has conditioning issues that need to be addressed but he was drafted to an ideal system. He'll spread the field with Brandon Marshall and Jay Cutler has a rocket arm. It's a WR handcuff at first look but if the Bears offense clicks then there'll be plenty of points to spread around.

1.10 - SAY WHAT AGAIN
Pick - Isaiah Pead
I project a good amount of options in Pacifico's spot, primarily at Wide Receiver. However, his primary need is at Running Back. With Steven Jackson on his way down and possibly out in the next couple of years, Pead is the natural successor. He's already projected to create a true RBBC and could end up a feature Running Back when Jackson slows down or stalls. It's a natural fit for Pacifico. Letting Pead slip out of the first round would be a big mistake.

So it should be obvious by now that I don't have Andrew Luck being drafted in the first round of our Rookie Draft. Some people might think I'm crazy but as I said at the start, I did this mock draft based on need. The only people I saw with a need for Luck were Terry and Merwin. Terry seems like a great fit with Brady only having three more years but passing on a Running Back in the first round basically kills any chance he'll get one at all by the time his 13th pick rolls around. It's a glaring problem on his team that needs to be addressed. Merwin could use Luck immediately, even with both Mannings on his roster. However, he has needs at RB & WR and they should be addressed first. If anyone else takes him, they'll be giving up a likely immediate producer for one of their needs over carrying a back up Quarterback for years.

Tuesday, May 1, 2012

XDSFL BREAKDOWN - Say What Again

SAY WHAT AGAIN ROSTER (Current as of 05/01)

My feelings on Pacifico's team are no secret. I felt it was an over achieving team that was the product of an extraordinary set of circumstances all the way to the title. If left unchanged, there's no doubt in my mind that this team would fall right back to reality and in the bottom 4 of this league. With that being said, there are some very strong components that not only produce now but will for many years to come. Matt Ryan posted up top 10 numbers in yards, Touchdowns and overall Fantasy Points. Adrian Peterson & Steven Jackson both put up 180+ Fantasy Points last season. Hakeem Nicks and Julio Jones are 24 & 23 respectively and put up around 150 Fantasy Points last year. The big guns are in place, but there's a severe lack of depth and it shows in the production.

Pacifico has picks 1.10 2.10 3.10 4.10 5.10

Pacifico doesn't have immediate needs so his draft will come down to BPA. It's going to be a tough draft coming from the bottom. Extensive research will be needed to get maximum value out of the 3rd - 5th rounders. They're probably better suited drafting players with 1 or 2 years in the league projected to break out rather than rookies.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of value.

Matt Ryan
Adrian Peterson
Steven Jackson
Hakeem Nicks
Julio Jones
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense

There's only a few legitimate QB1's in the league right now and Matt Ryan is one of them. He's posted up 3000 yards in every season he's played in. His Touchdowns/Year has increased all 4 years he's been in the league. He has the major benefit of playing all his home games in a dome (see Peyton Manning & Drew Brees). He also has 2 legitimate WR1's in Roddy White & Julio Jones and a TE1 in Anthony Gonzales. At 26 years old, Ryan has got a good 8 more years of high level production. He should not be moved.

Julio Jones is exactly what everyone expected coming into the league but not exactly what was expected Fantasy wise. He posted up 147 points last season but the number is very deceiving. He had 1 game at 30 points, 1 at 22 and 1 at 20. Further to the point, the 20 point game was in week 17, which means its a wash. With 52 points off 2 weeks, it's obvious the rest of the weeks suffer. On the plus side, he posted up 50+ points across weeks 13 - 16 so he plays well down the stretch. He's got all the tools to be a monster Wide Receiver. He's tall, posts 4/40 speed, gets off the jam well and has insane vertical. His numbers were solid as a rookie. If his 2nd year is anything close he'll be another player that can't be moved.

Nicks is another young monster WR. He's posted up back to back 1000 yard seasons. He had a dip in TD production in 2011 but that'll happen when someone like Victor Cruz comes out of nowhere to scoop TD's. Yardage more than anything is the important factor in WR's though. He's got a great QB throwing to him, he's 24 years old, great vertical, very fast and in a pass heavy offense. He's another player to watch as the offense is re-balanced (watch for David Wilson to burn WR's on targets this year) but he's another core player and shouldn't be moved.

RECOMMENDATIONS
I consider both of Pacifico's top Running Backs a sell high. Peterson is someone whose trade value is at its peak right now. He posted up monster numbers despite missing 1/4 of the season. However, his injury was a torn ACL and he is anything but a finesse Running Back. I anticipate that his workload is about to get a severe drop. Also, it'll be very interesting to see how much he's willing to dig in for extra yards or to break tackles coming off that injury. I figure Pacifico will wait and see. Truth be told I'd likely do the same. However, if his production falls, not only will he not get max value in a trade, his stock will drastically drop. On the other side, Steven Jackson is simply a victim of his own style. Like Peterson he's a grinder. Jackson has posted up at least 1000 Rushing Yards over 7 years. If you watch his footage, those aren't breakaway yards. He's hitting the line and busting through for short gains every week. He'll be turning 29 coming into this season. It's very telling that St. Louis drafted Isaiah Pead in the 2nd round of the draft. The writing is on the wall for Jackson. While Peterson is a wait and see, I would highly recommend moving Steven Jackson to a team looking to make a run.

There's a lot of trash that needs to be cleared off of Pacifico's roster. Christian Ponder, Chad Henne, Kahlil Bell, Kevin Smith, Plaxico Burress and Kyle Rudolph are all worthless in terms of consistent production. Taiwan Jones and Montario Hardesty are both on the cusp of being worthless depending on how spring training goes. Jones had trade value until Goodson was traded to Oakland. Hardesty had value until Cleveland drafted Richardson.

The 10th overall pick should be traded immediately. It has little to no value to Pacifico in this state but could be traded either to move up or just out for a solid RB3/WR3/TE behind Peterson/Jackson or Jones/Nicks. If the pick is retained, I'd suggest getting value at the spot and picking up Coby Fleener. He'll be an immediate upgrade over Rudolph and likely an upgrade over Pettigrew.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Pacifico has a team that over achieved and now could bite him in the ass in terms of the rebuild he was slated to be on last season. I projected this team to finish around 7th last year. At 4th in each round of drafting, a lot of critical holes could have been filled with high potential youth or traded for strong established depth. Picking 10th, it's going to be really tough draft. The Running Back corps desperately needs to be addressed. It's got maybe 1 year left of high level production and then it's going to crash and burn without new blood. I love his Receivers and his Quarterback situation is set for a long time. A small upgrade at Tight End and it'll round it out. After that it's a lot of depth maintenance.

Monday, April 16, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - The Commish

COMMISH ROSTER (Current as of 04/16)

Andy's team strikes me as one that's on the verge of either exploding or imploding. When I look at the roster and the point totals, I have to give it a double take because the players involved don't look like they should be putting up those kinds of numbers. Even now in the off season I have serious doubts about a lot of the roster. However, if the players of whom I have doubt are as steady as last year, Andy's team will be outright scary this year.

Ray Rice is the best fantasy Running Back in the league. AJ Green not only lived up to the hype in his rookie year but more than exceeded it. At 25 and 23 years old respectively, they'll be the foundation of this team for years to come. My curiosity is the players in the RB2 & WR2 position on the team. Marshawn Lynch had the breakout season of his career last year. However, looking at the numbers a little further is scary from a Dynasty perspective. He carried the ball nearly 300 times last year but only averaged 4 Yards Per Carry. That is a hell of a lot of grinding in the trenches. Seattle didn't make any real effort to secure another Running Back in the off season. If Lynch continues to be the feature back with that kind of workload, he'll be destroyed within 2 more seasons. On the Receiver end, it's a lot of what ifs. Jennings is the obvious WR2 but a breakdown of his numbers last year should send off alarms. Aaron Rodgers put up career bests in yards and eclipsed his best TD year by 17. With that being said, Jennings had 3 fewer TD's than last year. What's more important to watch though is that he had 20% less targets than the year before despite Rodgers passing numbers soaring. There's so much potential for the team to blow up but the second line of support could just as easily implode.

Andy has picks 2.09 3.09 4.09 5.09

The 1.09 move for Mendenhall obviously didn't pay off. He's sidelined with an ACL tear and isn't even projected to play the 2012 season at present. Even if that's not accurate, considering the style of play in the Steelers system, his effectiveness will be greatly reduced. The late picks will necessitate a lot of extensive research looking for sleepers. None of the big guns or even the 2nd tier of players that can produce will be available at 19th pick. There's an obvious need at Tight End on Andy's team. Dwayne Allen would seem to be a great fit in that spot for it's value.

PLAYERS ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality.

Philip Rivers
Ray Rice
Marshawn Lynch
CJ Spiller
AJ Green
Greg Jennings
Demaryius Thomas

Ray Rice was the best Running Back in the league bar none last year. He put up 2000+ all purpose yards and 15 touchdowns. What's scary is that 1/3 of his yards came from passing plays. At 25 years old with no major injuries, Rice is in a position to be a top 3 Fantasy Back for the next 3 - 5 years. He can't be moved at any price.

AJ Green was the #1 pick in last year's rookie draft and was well deserving of the pick. At first glance his numbers don't look that impressive against other WR1's. However, a WR1 should be able to provide 1000 yards and 9 Touchdowns over the course of 16 games and Greek was almost there. Last year in a Rookie QB system, Green hit 1100 all purpose yards and 7 TD's. There's no reason at all to believe his production will fall short any time soon short of injury. If he can sustain that production or slightly increase it, he'll be the next Calvin Johnson in terms of worth. He should not be moved.

RECOMMENDATIONS

I was a little surprised to see that Andy passed on moving both Spiller and Thomas. At present, I consider both as huge sell highs. Spiller got a chance to really shine last year when Fred Jackson went down. However, he'll either be relegated back to where he was prior to injury or end up in a RBBC this year. Thomas had a mediocre year last year but he was also in a Tebow system. With Peyton Manning taking the helm, a lot of folks believe he's due to have his breakout year. I have my doubts, mainly because Manning has played his whole career indoors and Denver isn't exactly temperate after September. I think both guys should be moved. Considering Andy's draft position, they could be moved for a high 2nd or mid 1st in package. If either can't produce to expectation this year, their value will plummet.

Tight End needs to be shored up. Hernandez had the best year of his short career last year but the numbers are deceiving. Of his 135 Fantasy Points, 22 of them were in a meaningless week 17. He's the 2nd choice for TE behind Gronkowski. He's also going to see less targets with New England upgrading at Wide Receiver. While I don't think Hernandez should be traded, I do think Andy should look to trade for at least 1 more TE or draft the best TE available in the rookie draft.

FINAL THOUGHTS
I know my review carries a heavy doom and gloom. I still think it's a very big work in progress. If the week 12 miracle of all miracles hadn't occurred last year, Andy would be drafting 1.04 instead of 1.09, which is exactly where I would have pegged his team in terms of rebuild. Considering it overachieved, it set a lot of weird wheels in motion. There are simply too many what ifs or projected drop in production across the board right now to think the team a contender. In a year I could be eating crow but right now I wouldn't be confident in this team having as strong a year without upgrades to shore up consistency.

Sunday, April 8, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - The Sexy Leprechauns

THE SEXY LEPRECHAUNS ROSTER (Current as of 04/08)

When I look at Danon's team I think "he should win" every year. Every aspect of his team is not only built for high production but it's got years ahead of it before it'll require rebuilding. That's exactly how a dynasty team should look. Aaron Rodgers is the best QB in the league and at 28 will be at that level for 6 - 8 more years. Danon has 4 Running Backs at RB2 level or higher and all are 26 years old or younger. He has 4 Wide Receivers at WR2 level or higher and Miles Austin is the oldest one at 27. His kicker and Defense were both ranked 2nd overall in our league last season. If it wasn't for his single need at Tight End, I'd consider Danon to have a perfect Fantasy Football team.

Danon has picks 1.08 2.08 3.08 4.08 5.08

When you don't have needs it's hard to analyse or recommend a move in the draft. In the end it'll just come down to BPA.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of value.

Aaron Rodgers
LeSean McCoy
Jamaal Charles
Percy Harvin
Miles Austin
Sebastian Janikowski
Ravens Defense

Rodgers was the best QB last year bar none. He beat Drew Brees for most fantasy points and didn't play week 17. He only had one game all year where he put up less than 20 Fantasy Points. He doesn't put up the passing yards of a Brees or Brady but he rushes far more than either of them. He's also 4 years younger than Brees and 6 years younger than Brady. If this Dynasty League were to be restarted from scratch, Rodgers would be, beyond a shadow of a doubt, the #1 pick in the draft. I can't even fathom what kind of offer it'd take to move him.

LeSean McCoy is perfect for the Eagles offense. He's fast, strong, has great hands, and can be used in any number of packages. He was the Eagles top rusher and led the team in Yards Per Carry at a whopping 19. He put up 1600 all purpose yards and a ridiculous 20 touchdowns with only 1 fumble. Oh yeah, he's only 23 years old. Again, I can't fathom an offer that moves him off the roster.

It's a little strange that Harvin doesn't get more talk as an elite Fantasy Wide Receiver. He hasn't had a year where he didn't put up at least 170 points. That includes his rookie year. It should be noted that Harvin's production dropped dramatically in the first half of last year. His chronic migraine problem was obviously giving him issues. However, the loss of AP resulted in increased opportunity in the second half and he rebounded well. If he were older, I'd say he was a sell high. However; at 23 years old and a Fantasy average of 182 points over 3 years, I'd have to be nuts to recommend moving him.

Janikowski is the best Place Kicker in the league. Akers may have better Fantasy numbers because of the offense in SF but in terms of reliable PK over long distance there's no one better than Janikowski. He kicked 2 successful 60+ yard Field Goals last year. I don't even know how many 50+ yarders. At 34, he's almost considered young for an elite Kicker. Short of him breaking his leg, I'd never move Janikowski off my roster.

RECOMMENDATIONS
There isn't much I can scrutinize aside from the obvious issue at Tight End. While I think it's stupid to draft a Tight End in the 1st round, I do believe you should draft based on need. It's a tough spot. Both Fleener and Allen "should" be there at 18th overall in our rookie draft. However, I have serious doubts Fleener will be there as someone will make a reach based on all the hype he's getting. Still, Allen would be a fine pick in that spot without overpaying at 1.08

FINAL THOUGHTS
It's the overall best team in our league and likely will be for the next few years.

Friday, April 6, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - P IN THE V

P IN THE V ROSTER (Current as of 04/06)

Last year I said on a pretty regular basis that Ben had the best team with the worst luck. He'd put up a ridiculous amount of points and just happen to run into someone else who was having just having a better week. There's a lot to like about his team at first glance. While inconsistent on an NFL level, Romo is a true Fantasy QB1. MJD looked like his best days were behind him 2 years ago only to have an amazing resurgence on an awful team this year. If/when Wallace gets paid, he'll be 25 years old and an elite WR1 for the next 5 years. The addition of Peyton Manning will only benefit Decker (I see him at the WR1 over Thomas). Gronk turned out to be a far bigger monster than I think anyone could have realized last year. If he can get his health back to 100% and McDaniels doesn't rob him of too many targets, he'll be TE1 level for another 6 or 7 years.

On the flip side, once you get past the amazing 1st level of each of the players on Ben's team, there isn't much else. Reggie Bush had an extraordinary year last year with Daniel Thomas sidelined and the offense finally opening up with Morre and Marshall. Now Marshall is gone, Moore is unlikely to start and Thomas will be splitting carries again. Felix Jones and Ben Tate are both great Backs stuck behind monsters and will never see consistent points. Tolbert ended up in the worst position possible as a 3rd down Fullback in Carolina. The rest of the receiving corps is a mish mash of WR3 level Receivers. Manningham has the potential to be a sleeper but the offensive system doesn't suit his style and he'll be floundering among a sea of Receivers in a short yardage West Coast offense.

The team is in need of retooling for depth in order to consistently compete. The level of talent between the 1st line and the rest is far too large to be relied on for steady wins.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality.


Tony Romo
Maurice Jones Drew
Mike Wallace
Rob Gronkowski
Packers Defense


If this was a year ago, I would have considered MJD a sell high. The load the Jaguars put on him every year is disgusting. If Rashad Jennings hadn't gone down in the pre-season, I'm convinced that MJD would have seen a drastic change in the way he was used. Those believing him to be a sell high would have been proven right and life goes on. Of course things didn't go that way at all. Not only did he not drop in production, he had the best year of his career in terms of all purpose yardage. MJD just turned 27 and if he can sustain this kind of production 3 more years then it'd be insane to suggest moving him right now. 29 may be another story.

The Packers are a garbage NFL defense but they're a fantastic Fantasy defense. They only had 1 negative point game all of last year and that was in week 17 giving up 41 points to the Lions. Shockingly it was only a -1 point night. The reason being the Packers are huge in terms of take aways. 31 Interceptions, 29 Sacks, 7 Fumble Recoveries and 5 Defensive TD's. It was good enough for a 5th place Fantasy Finish vs 29th overall in the NFL Rankings.

RECOMMENDATIONS
Ben's immediate needs are at Wide Receiver. With the exception of Wallace and to a lesser extent Decker, the rest of the players could be waived and I wouldn't consider it a detriment to his team. His first priority coming into the draft should be grabbing one of the many talented Receivers available. He should end up with a player like Wright, Jeffrey or Randle at 7th overall. The 2.07 spot is tough as the pool of talent thins quickly after 1 - 15. I think at 2.07 and considering his needs, I'd look to either trade up for a higher 2nd rounder or trade the pick + player for immediate help in the WR2 range.

FINAL THOUGHTS
If Ben can find one more RB2 + WR2 it'll make all the difference this coming season. There's a lot of what ifs this year, especially at Running Back. If things go badly, the team is going to be crippled past it's 4 big players. It all comes down to depth.

Wednesday, April 4, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - Highlight Reel

HIGHLIGHT REEL ROSTER (Current as of 04/04)

This is going to be a little strange writing about what I think I'm doing right and wrong at this point in time. It's likely going to come off like a brag so I'll apologize in advance.

ANALYSIS
This team is built with Running Backs at the core for consistency and Wide Receivers as a secondary for big points that I hope to get but won't always have the luxury of getting. Foster, Johnson & Jackson combined for 585 points last year. That's with Foster missing 4 games, Jackson missing 6 games and CJ never truly finding his legs. The addition of Ryan Matthews through an off season trade will essentially substitute the production Jackson had and drop 6 years in age. As such, all 3 starting Running Backs will have RB1 production this year and will be 26 or younger at the start of the season.

The Wide Receiver corps is a combination of youth and high end production. Both Welker (30) and V-Jax (29) had their best Fantasy seasons ever last season. Brown, Cruz & D-Jax are all 25 or younger. I expect D-Jax to return to form after he got his contract extension and doesn't have to worry about getting hurt without getting paid. That's 5 WR1 level receivers that can be swapped in and out depending on matchups.

I was fortunate to grab Jimmy Graham in the 2nd round of our draft last year off an odd drop by Rob. He's proven to be a top 3 TE in a perfect system for him and is only 25 years old.

I have picks 1.06 3.06 3.07 4.06 5.06

I essentially crippled my draft in order to make a stronger run for the title this year. 1.09 was packaged with Brandon Marshall to get Chris Johnson back. 2.06 was packaged with Kenny Britt and Mike Williams to pick up Ryan Matthews. While I know where 1.06 must go, the later picks are going to be difficult. A lot of research will have to go into finding sleepers. Last year I grabbed Antonio Brown at 3.05 so no one should be overlooked.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality.

Ben Roethlisberger
Arian Foster
Ryan Matthews
Chris Johnson
Victor Cruz
Antonio Brown
Jimmy Graham

At the present time there are 3 truly elite Fantasy Running Backs. Foster, Rice and McCoy. Prior to his major knee reconstruction I would have put Peterson in that mix. Considering his age, style of play and nature of surgery that's no longer the case. Despite nagging hamstring issues, Foster still managed to put up 250 points this past season. That's with missing 4 games including week 17, which artificially inflates stats. I expect similar production for the next 3 - 5 years.

I consider Jimmy Graham a gift. I was all set to try and make a trade for him last year and then Rob dropped him for no apparent reason. With the exception of Andy, I don't think anyone else was aware of just how great Graham would be coming into last season. Andy passed on grabbing a TE in the 2nd as he was in the midst of rebuild so it was a no brainer for me. He's a TE that puts up elite WR1 numbers (1300 yards + 11 TD's last year). It's like getting a bonus WR. Considering his age, the offensive system he's in and having a top 3 QB throwing to him, he'll be starting every week for years.

RECOMMENDATIONS
My Quarterback situation needs to be addressed immediately. Roethlisberger has been sliding from high QB1 down to mid QB2 status over the last couple of years. He had his 2nd most passing yards but also had more attempts than any other year of his career. He also had the least amount of rushing yards, no rushing TD's and the 2nd most fumbles of his career. The first thing that needs to be addressed with my team is drafting a Quarterback. I'm fortunate in that the needs of our league in the 1.01 - 1.05 are such that it'd be an extraordinary reach for anyone to take Luck or RGIII ahead of any number of Backs or Receivers. I have zero doubt that one QB or the other will fall to me at 1.06 and will be picked up. If for some outside reason both are taken, it means a high level RB/WR will be waiting so it's all gravy.

If looking at the team from the outside, I'd recommend moving Fred Jackson, Vincent Jackson and Wes Welker on a sell high based on age and nothing else. No one has wanted to pick up either Jackson in early off season trading despite offers to fill obvious holes in rosters. Fred put up 170 points over 11 games. Vincent put up yet another 1000+ yard season and tied his own best with 9 TD's in a system where Rivers was nowhere near his previous levels and the offense was dominated by the run. Welker is a sell high for a team looking to make a run. He put up 1600 all purpose yards and 9 TD's last year.

FINAL THOUGHTS
The team is built young and produces high. With an acquisition at Quarterback the primary need of the team will be addressed. After that it just comes down to smart drafting.

Monday, April 2, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - The Alabama Ticks

THE ALABAMA TICKS ROSTER (Current as of 04/02)

ANALYSIS
Eric has a team that I believe epitomizes a ReDraft team in a Dynasty league. It's got a few heavy hitters but the rest of the pieces aren't really of any consequence. Typical fantasy logic is to build a young consistent team across the board so you can overcome shortcomings. This especially holds true in the latter part of the year when your older heavy hitters start feeling the effects of the season more and more. That being said, there were two parts of his team last year that absolutely shocked me. Cam Newton came into the NFL and destroyed every team he faced. When Eric drafted Newton last year I literally laughed at the choice. There wouldn't have been a chance in hell I draft him that high. Pretty sure he's the only one laughing now. Newton will be a Dynasty stud and a staple of Eric's team for the next decade. There was also Darren Sproles, who thrived in a new offensive system after apparently being stifled in San Diego. Those two combined for 620 points alone last year. That's seriously polarized production.

Eric has picks 2.05 3.05 5.05

It's concerning to see that Eric only has 3 players 25 and younger and that he's missing his 1st round pick (sent to Merwin with Ryan Grant for Dwayne Bowe). The team is built to win now but considering the age of the team and no top young talent coming in, the rebuild after this year or possibly next will be ridiculously extensive.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality

Cameron Newton
Darren McFadden
Darren Sproles
Dwayne Bowe
Jason Witten
David Akers
San Francisco Defense


As I touched on earlier, Cam Newton must never be moved off Eric's roster. All the tools that he had in college that most people thought wouldn't translate to the pro level did just that. It's kind of sick when your QB is a TD vulture for RB's but Newton rushed for 14 touchdowns last year. His passing numbers are QB2 level but if he continues to rush in that 600 - 700 range it will more than make up for it. There are RB2's that would kill for that kind of production.

McFadden is one of those guys where if I was his owner I'd be giving him 1 more year to make a real decision about his future. When he's healthy, he's one of the best RB's in the entire league. The problem is that he's almost never healthy and it's been established he's a very slow healer. His one true upside is that he's only 24 years old and has time to string a set of seasons together. At present he's far too high a producer to move but if he goes down again for any length of time that should be a clear sign to sell off. He'd probably fetch great value in terms of future picks.

Not only was David Akers the best kicker in the league last year, he outproduced the next closest kickers by 30 points. His 8 missed FG's on 52 attempts is a little high but considering the nature of SF's offense, that's to be expected. That team simply doesn't take it to the house as much as other top level teams. Kickers seem to have an indefinite lifespan in the NFL (I'm convinced 40 years old is prime) so Akers should be a staple for Eric for years to come.

I'm not big on Defenses being a staple of teams but I wanted to touch on something scary when doing research. San Francisco was the only team in the entire league last year that didn't have a negative point game. In fact they only had one Zero game all year. If your defense gives up nothing every week they've done their job. Any other points is gravy.

RECOMMENDATIONS
This should be pretty obvious. With the exception of Quarterback, Eric's entire team needs a serious injection of youth. This kind of team is great in the short term. If this was a ReDraft league, it'd be ideal but when looking ahead there's no way this can be sustained. Even a low priority like the SF DEF will lose players as FA comes each year. As I posted on our message board weeks ago, I classify Sproles as a sell high. I fully expect DC's to have better ways to contain him this year. It doesn't help that Sean Payton won't be calling the shots either. Sproles could be sold as an amazing sell high for picks both this year and 1st/2nd next year. However Eric wants to go about it, youth should be on the mind sooner rather than later.

FINAL THOUGHTS
I expect Eric to be a serious threat this year. His team is built for a title run with McFadden starting again. After this year though, it's going to be a hard tumble from the top.

Saturday, March 31, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - The Voyagers

THE VOYAGERS ROSTER (Current as of 03/29)

ANALYSIS
If I were to pick one guy that studies the game as much or more than myself it's Scott. I knew listening to him going into our Start Up Draft that he was going to be someone to watch as the years pass. Looking at his team, it's obvious that he makes the big differentiation between Dynasty and ReDraft that some other owners still haven't grasped. He keeps his team very young for the most part. The few aging players on his team were acquired when he looked like he wanted to make a run last year. It obviously didn't pan out but I don't blame him for giving it a real shot. He's in a strong position to not only move forward in season 3 but do it almost entirely through youth. A friend of mine tells me regularly that "if you can't envision a player on your team in 3 years, they shouldn't be on your team."

Scott has picks 1.04 2.04 3.04 4.04 5.04

Scott is the only person in our league that I have absolutely no idea where he'll draft. Under that premise, he'd be placed in a BPA situation. He was willing to shop his 1st pick until just recently and then pulled it. Rumour has it that he's shifted focus to adding an additional 1st round pick or high 2nd coming into the draft. Considering his style of management, that doesn't surprise me in the least.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality

Matthew Stafford
DeMarco Murray
Kenny Britt
Larry Fitzgerald

Scott's team has depth but not overflowing with superstars. I love his receiving corps at the present time. Fitzgerald is a fantasy machine. If he had a better QB, I'd have placed him in the same tier at Calvin Johnson. I had my doubts when Kevin Kolb came into the Cardinals system but Fitz hasn't lost a step. Scott acquired Kenny Britt from myself in a big trade earlier in the off season. Britt has had his share of issues both on and off field. However, when he's playing he's one of the most ridiculous players I've ever seen. It's very telling Scott was willing to move a RB1 to acquire a player who hasn't played a full season. However, if you look at Britt's production it's no surprise why he wanted him. Dez Bryant is a great WR2 for a 3rd receiver every week. I don't believe him to be the WR1 that others do. He hasn't broken 1000 yards or 10 TD's despite being the Cowboys apparent biggest weapon. I think his name value is worth more than his fantasy production.

Scott's Running Back situation isn't in bad shape but definitely needs re-tooling. The loss of Ryan Matthews means no RB1 on his roster. DeMarco Murray has the tools to be the next big thing in Dallas but he hasn't had a season without injury since high school (that's not a joke). If that's the case, he'll have a gaping hole in RB production sometime this year. Benson and Gore both have RB2 numbers but one is unemployed and the other is on his last legs. I would have liked Helu to step up as a fantasy RB2 but Royster stole some of his thunder at the end of the season and Washington looks poised to go through the air with RGIII about to be drafted.

I love Scott's Quarterback situation. Stafford is a monster as long as he's healthy. Last year was his first healthy year and he put up numbers just shy of Drew Brees territory both in yards and touchdowns while 10 years his junior. He should be a staple on Scott's team for years to come. Michael Vick has come back down to Earth after taking off. His passing numbers are actually QB2/QB3 territory. Where he excelled was his rushing yards in 2010. Note though, he had 9 rushing TD's in 2010 and 1 in 2011. Still, as a flex QB he's ideal for Scott's team.

RECOMMENDATIONS
As I said earlier, Scott needs to address his Running Back roster more than anything else. His QB & WR spots are good to go not only this year but for years to come. He'd do well to draft Lamar Miller or David Wilson 4th overall. However, I'd still look to trade down and pick up a utility back or package for a legit low RB1/high RB2. There are quite a few owners with the depth to spare and looking to move up in the draft for the right price.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Despite a poor finish last year, Scott's got the youth and talent on his roster to make legit runs for years to come. Just a small amount of adjustments is all that's left before sitting back to watch while everyone else scrambles to make moves yearly.

Thursday, March 29, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - Mr. Brady

MR. BRADY ROSTER (Current as of 03/29)

ANALYSIS
Every time I see that Terry came 8th in our league I shake my head in disbelief. I like Terry's team in many ways. At the start of season 2, I figured him to be a contender for a title run. A lot can change in a year. His team was plagued by injuries at the midway point. The loss of Andre Johnson can not be overstated enough. He represents an average of 12 points per game lost after week 4. To put that in perspective, Terry lost 3 games by 12 or less. That's the difference between 8th and 3rd in a tight race last year. His team also suffered from a severe lack of patience. Mendenhall was moved for 1.09 and DeMarco Murray was moved for... Greg Little? Despite a couple of key injuries and odd moves, Terry's in a prime position to be right back in the thick of things coming into the 3rd season.

Terry has picks 1.03 2.03 3.03 4.03 5.03

I suspect Terry's first round pick will be highly contingent on Rob's pick more than anything else. I do like that he's high throughout the draft despite having a solid team. Even 3.03 should yield a strong player with some research put in. The draft class is deep and players shouldn't be disregarded past the 2nd round.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality

Tom Brady
Calvin Johnson
Isaac Redman
Stevan Ridley
Vernon Davis
Jason Hanson
Greg Little
Chicago Bears Defense

There are a few players in the league that I consider 100% immovable. The best way I look at those players would be someone would have to give up so much to get them that they're not only stupid, they'd outright cripple their team to give the right value. Calvin Johnson is the only Wide Receiver I'd place in that category. He's 26 years old and has a young QB1 throwing to him. He's going to put up 200 points every year (barring injury) for the next 5 years.

When I look at Tom Brady, there's a part of me that says "sell high" and there's part that says "run him into retirement." If he were even a year younger (he's 34) it would be outright impossible to consider trading. At this stage, he's far too important to move and there's enough time over the next 3 years to draft a great Quarterback or trade for another QB1. Only Rodgers and Brees are in his league right now and Brady is a cornerstone of Terry's team.

Both Redman and Ridley are wait and see players with huge upside. Redzone Redman is going to get a big uptick in fantasy value this year. More so if Mendenhall is shelved longer than initially expected. The move of Green-Ellis to the Bengals has left a dog fight over the starting job in New England. I like Ridley over Vereen by a wide margin. I don't consider Woodhead an issue as he's used in any number of wacky packages not traditional for a larger Back.

I'm hopeful Little pans out considering the price paid for him. If Cleveland upgrades at Quarterback, Little should get an immediate increase in value. It's a lot of what ifs though. 

RECOMMENDATIONS
Terry's Running Back situation is a disaster. His best RB is Michael Bush and he'll be 28 years old by the time the NFL season starts. Willis McGahee is about to take an insane tumble in value as the entire Broncos offense is going to be re-tooled for Peyton Manning. He's also 30 years old. I would have tried to sell him high midway through the season to be honest. LaGarrette Blount is due for an upswing. However, if Trent Richardson is drafted 5th then Blount is dead in the water. Terry MUST draft a Running Back with 1.03 or trade down for a pick plus a Running Back. It's a small window because I wouldn't trade down lower than 1.07 to ensure getting a tier 1 rookie RB.

I'd also look to acquire a WR2 sooner rather than later. Andre Johnson is a great WR but when you fall down without being touched, that isn't something you just ignore. At 30 years old he has great trade value to contenders but holding him longer than another year is likely a poor decision both in the short term and definitely the long term.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Terry's only a couple of adjustments away from being right back on top of things. Once Running Back is addressed, I have no doubts his team will be smacking people up on the regular again.

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

XDSFL Breakdown - Mean Machines

THE MEAN MACHINES ROSTER (Current as of 03/27)

ANALYSIS
Rob has placed bottom 2 in back to back years. This stems from a poor Start Up Draft more than anything else. The offense is polarized such that only Drew Brees and Matt Forte have put up consistent elite production. The amazing revival of Steve Smith at age 32 due to the arrival of Cam Newton has been a strong plus for Rob's team as well. There are a few components that will yield strong results in the future such as Stevie Johnson and Mark Ingram but honestly, the rest is a ragtag bunch of players that are grossly under-performing.

Rob has picks 1.02 2.02 3.02 4.02 5.02

Rob has made it abundantly clear he's not looking to move his 1st round pick. I anticipate he'll draft Justin Blackmon 2nd overall. While I think it's a great idea to grab the best WR for a weak team, this draft is so deep this year that the pick could serve a multi faceted purpose. I'll get into that later on in the article.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player or draft pick of quality.

Sam Bradford
Matt Forte
Mark Ingram
Steve Johnson
Alex Henery

It's a pretty short list. I'll address the obvious Drew Brees question in the next section. Matt Forte CAN NOT be moved. Let's get this out of the way. He will be back in Chicago. He'll also have an opportunity to get even better as there are more weapons in Chicago and defenses won't be as inclined to stack the box knowing 50% or more of the offense is going through Forte. He's coming off surgery but at 26 years old, he's in his prime and will be a monster for a few more years. Steve Johnson is the rising Buffalo Bills WR1 and is the foundation of Rob's WR Corps. Since starting in 2010, he's put up back to back 1000 yard seasons. He had a drop off in TD's this year but that'll happen when you're up against the top corner in the league 2x a year and being double teamed. Both guys will give Rob at least 3 years more top level production short of being injured and he shouldn't entertain offers for either of them.

RECOMMENDATIONS
Rob needs to sell Drew Brees right now. To the right owner, Brees could yield a combination of both draft picks and strong players if that owner has depth to give. A year ago, I tried to ship an RB2, WR1, TE1 and this year's 1st round pick to Rob for Brees and was turned down. Hindsight dictates I was overpaying when I already had a low QB1/high QB2 in Big Ben but that's irrelevant now. The bottom line is that Rob has a major bargaining chip to work with and should be active in moving Brees. I understand it's hard to give up a guy coming off 5000+ yards and 46 TD's. However, when you can draft an amazing QB, and still get 3 or 4 major pieces in return, you not only recover the points but increase the overall amount.

1.02 should be traded down. There are a host of players in our league that would like to trade up and would give up a package to do it. This is exactly what Rob needs. If he can trade 1.02 down and pick up 1.04 - 1.07 he will get a comparable WR in Kendell Wright or Michael Floyd and still get another player (at the very least) in the RB2/WR2 range. That's win/win for a team in rebuild.

The Carolina Handcuff needs to be broken. Steve Smith is an interesting player. If I was in Rob's shoes I'd look to sell high to a team looking to make a title run. Unlike Brees though, I wouldn't hold it against Rob to hold onto Smith until his wheels come off. Smith isn't a big TD guy but he puts up WR1 yardage and that's a very big deal. I'd look to move DeAngelo Williams to a team lacking in Running Backs. His ceiling is RB2 but more like RB3 nowadays. He'll likely get an underwhelming response in player trade value but he should yield a great offer for someone looking to move picks.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Rob's team is by far in the worst shape out of everyone at this point in time. The team is in need of what I'd consider 2 years of rebuild before it can playoff contend, never mind title contend. There are a few really strong pieces in its foundation but lots of work needs to be done. He's got to let go of the 1 or 2 giant numbers and realize consistent strong numbers across the board will yield far more wins.

XDSFL Breakdown - Gucci Gunners

I haven't found much motivation to write on my primary blog lately. There isn't much that's caught my interest. However, I have been head deep in Fantasy Football of late. The NFL Draft is coming and then the league rookie draft will come sometime afterwards. With upcoming events, the league seems to be in full swing in terms of trades/adds/drop/etc. As a result, I've had a lot of time to look at every time in order to find ways to improve my own. Now that I consider my own team "complete" outside of my draft pick, I thought I'd put down thoughts on everyone else's team over the course of the next month. Some of it will be harsh and some of it will be praise. I welcome thoughts/discussion/criticism/etc either in the comments below or on the league page. I'll be doing these in order of how people finished the year so Merwin is first.

THE GUCCI GUNNERS ROSTER (Current as of 03/27)

ANALYSIS
Merwin had a tough year last year. The biggest issue was his inability to sit on any players who weren't actively producing over a short span of time. As a result, Merwin's team has seen players such as Frank Gore, Fred Jackson, Dwayne Bowe, Victor Cruz and Chris Johnson all come and go over the last eight months. While last year was difficult, some major changes in the way Merwin approaches the game has seen some strong strides forward. Merwin is in a great position to rebuild his team in a short amount of time due to his strong placement in the upcoming rookie draft.

Merwin has picks 1.01 1.05 1.09 2.01 2.06

I'm not going to get into his picks past the 2nd round. At the present time his roster is full and he simply can't afford to take on any players with those picks. As for his first 5 picks, he'll be able to place his team into a much stronger and younger position after this draft. Aside from Trent Richardson, Merwin will be in a strong position to draft another Running Back and a high level Wide Receiver before the first round is completed. His two second round acquisitions won't yield immediate results unless some players fall further than anticipated but they will pan out in a year or two. I like his outlook going into the 2013 NFL Season.

PLAYER ANALYSIS
The following players should not be moved short of both their core position being replaced with at least a lateral move PLUS another player of quality.

Eli Manning
Jonathan Stewart
Beanie Wells
Ryan Williams
Brandon Marshall
Jeremy Maclin
Emmanuel Sanders
Fred Davis

Simply put, Jonathan Stewart is on the verge of an explosion within the next year. He'll either become the franchise back in Carolina, be traded before the season starts or hit Free Agency at the end of the season. In all situations, he will be one of Merwin's main Running Backs and MUST NOT be moved.

Brandon Marshall is being reunited with Jay Cutler, the quarterback that gave him his best season. Looking past that, Marshall hasn't had a season below 1000 yards since his rookie season. He even managed to hold onto that number in an awful Miami offense with 3 different QB's over 2 years. He's a stud WR1 and will only see increased production under a far better system than both Miami & Denver. Like Stewart, Marshall is a foundation player and can not be moved.

RECOMMENDATIONS
At this point Merwin is almost in the best position he can be without seeing where the NFL Rookie Draft is at. I would recommend looking into a solid Wide Receiver but not someone that shouldn't cost more than a 2nd round pick. Players like Eric Decker, Torrey Smith, Darrius Heyward-Bay, Josh Morgan all have upside but their current owners would have to be nuts to think they're worth more than a 2nd at this point. While I wouldn't dump anyone right now, Merwin will have to look into dumping or trading players coming into our rookie draft. He's carrying a full 20 players + 2 IR spots while having 8 draft picks. Even with the league expanding to 25 total slots, that's bad drafting math. He's got some veterans on his team that players looking to make a run at the title this year could use. I'd look to move Peyton Manning, & Antonio Gates. Both of them will have very strong production in the short term and could be a great piece to a few other owners teams who have high hopes for a title win. If they can't be moved at solid trade value, I'd recommend running them until the wheels fall off.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Merwin has lots of work to do but I like his outlook going into the upcoming season. His team is young with a ton of upside. While I don't think he's a contender this season, he's only a couple of moves away from being not just a monster but one built where he doesn't have to make any major moves for years to come.

Saturday, March 17, 2012

Live & Learn

One of the first lessons that Vanny tried to impart on me in the Dynasty off season was to not making any moves between the trade deadline and the NFL Draft. There's no true gauge of talent as it's all a bunch of speculative mumbo jumbo with picks flying everywhere. I didn't take his advice and frankly (like the majority of times when I pass on good advice) it's come to bite me hard in the ass.

Chris Johnson traded away for Victor Cruz
From a 1 for 1 perspective, I think I came out ahead on this deal. The deal itself isn't a problem, it's the domino effect it created for my team. My team prior to that trade is as follows:

20 MAN ROSTER + 2 IR NON PPR
QB - Roethlisberger, Sanchez
RB - Foster, Johnson, F-Jax, Bush, Hunter, Royster
WR - Welker, Marshall, V-Jax, D-Jax, Williams (TB), Britt, Brown
TE - Graham, Finley, Celek
K - Rackers
DEF - Texans
Picks - 1.06 2.06 3.06 3.07

A couple of factors came into play when I made the initial trade. The biggest being I was helping one of the other guys in the league rebuild his team. He's the one that sent Cruz my way. If I'd taken more than 2 seconds I'd have blown off the deal from anyone else because I'd have looked at my roster, saw the depth at WR and realize that while it's an upgrade, the addition at WR wasn't needed as much as the depth at RB. I wanted to get an RB2 that would be in the same calibre as Johnson if not Johnson himself.

Britt + Williams + 2.06 traded away for Matthews
The current state of Peyton Manning sweepstakes makes both this deal and the CJ2K deal look far worse. Manning's addition to the Titans will instantly bump up all of their primary offensive weapons. I'd been holding onto Britt all of last year waiting to play him this year. However, the CJ2K domino dropped and I felt compelled to replace him. I don't consider Williams move a consequence either way. I've spent more than my fair share thinking that I blew it on the 2nd round pick though. My original offer involved this but moving up to 1.04 from 1.06 and it was declined. I should have stuck to my guns. The upgrade would have made it worthwhile.

Michael Bush traded away for 1.09
I have no issues with this move. I planned on moving him regardless of any prior changes. The Back depth in the early rounds this year is fantastic and he'll be replaced younger.

Antonio Brown + 1.06 + 1.09 for Chris Johnson (Pending)
This offer will be declined most likely within the next 24 hours. It looked to be locked up and then the trade situation was posed to DLF and the masses shit on it. Personally I thought I was giving the other owner too much. However, Manning is again messing with the entire situation and CJ2K's potential value. I was tempted to revoke the trade but will let it play out. If accepted I'll be done with all moves going into the next season. If declined, it'll shift my focus to draft very smart.

20 MAN ROSTER + 2 IR NON PPR CURRENT TEAM
QB - Roethlisberger, Sanchez
RB - Foster, Matthews, F-Jax, Hunter, Moreno, Royster
WR - Welker, Marshall, Cruz, Brown, V-Jax, D-Jax, Roberts, Royal
TE - Graham, Finley, Celek
K - Rackers
DEF - Texans, Bills
Picks - 1.06 1.09 3.06 3.07

In the end, I'm aware I came out losing in many ways based on one impulsive move with someone I frankly shouldn't be helping in the first place. Sometimes your friendship gets in the way of competitive spirit. Time and temperament would have yielded smarter decision making both in the initial transaction and subsequent moves to compensate.

Live and learn.

Don't doubt Vanny.